Rest of Season Projection
KonnorCategoryOtto
7HR →8
44R ←43
33RBI ←31
21SB ←13
.239AVG →.314
Current Season
KonnorCategoryOtto
4HR4
30R →33
22RBI →24
14SB ←10
.270AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Konnor Griffin
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.303)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.359 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Otto Lopez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.393 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.341 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Konnor Griffin: 8 HR / 45 R. Otto Lopez: 9 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).