Rest of Season Projection
KumarCategoryZac
82K →91
4.44ERA ←4.96
1.42WHIP →1.40
2–5W →3–7
0SV0
Current Season
KumarCategoryZac
44K ←42
3.54ERA ←5.16
1.32WHIP ←1.47
2W →3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kumar Rocker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.63 is 1.09 above the ERA — regression coming
Zac Gallen
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.43 +1.33 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Kumar Rocker: 82 K / 4.44 ERA. Zac Gallen: 91 K / 4.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).