Rest of Season Projection
KyleCategoryTyler
33K →37
3.73ERA →3.71
1.29WHIP →1.25
1–2W ←1–2
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
KyleCategoryTyler
16K →24
1.93ERA ←4.23
1.54WHIP →1.37
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Kyle Finnegan
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.15 is 2.27 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.89)
Kyle Finnegan: 33 K / 3.73 ERA. Tyler Holton: 37 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).