MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Kyle Leahy
Kyle Leahy
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Zebby Matthews.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Kyle Leahy’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Zebby Matthews wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Kyle Leahy wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Kyle Leahy
94.1
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Kyle Leahy
10.0%
Zebby Matthews
10.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Kyle Leahy
19.4%
Zebby Matthews
19.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Kyle Leahy
26.0%
Zebby Matthews
27.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Kyle Leahy
50.3%
Zebby Matthews
38.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Kyle Leahy
10.7%
Zebby Matthews
12.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Kyle Leahy
.349
Zebby Matthews
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Kyle Leahy
4.015.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.25
4.84
Zebby Matthews
4.015.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.54
WHIPlower is better
Kyle Leahy
.9001.77
now 1.56
1.37
Zebby Matthews
.9001.77
now 1.03
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Kyle Leahy
4066
now 46
43
Zebby Matthews
4066
now 24
54
Winshigher is better
Kyle Leahy
.0009.40
now 5
37
Zebby Matthews
.0009.40
now 1
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellKyle Leahy — sell.conf 0.89
SellZebby Matthews — sell.conf 0.75
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