MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Lake Bachar
Lake Bachar
MIA · P
Change to
Zack Kelly
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Zack Kelly.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Lake Bachar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Zack Kelly wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Lake Bachar wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lake Bachar
94.7
Zack Kelly
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
14.6%
Zack Kelly
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
25.8%
Zack Kelly
19.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lake Bachar
29.2%
Zack Kelly
28.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
38.9%
Zack Kelly
38.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lake Bachar
9.7%
Zack Kelly
8.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lake Bachar
.299
Zack Kelly
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lake Bachar
3.093.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.77
3.73
Zack Kelly
3.093.99
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.31
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Lake Bachar
.9001.40
now 1.01
1.27
Zack Kelly
.9001.40
now 1.29
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lake Bachar
4039.20
now 32
24
Zack Kelly
4039.20
now 14
16
Winshigher is better
Lake Bachar
.000.480
now 0
00
Zack Kelly
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLake Bachar — buy.conf 0.71
Hold · wait & seeZack Kelly — hold.conf 0.50
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