MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Lance McCullers Jr.
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Zebby Matthews
Zebby Matthews
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lance McCullers Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lance McCullers Jr. wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Zebby Matthews wins 1 (WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
91.6
Zebby Matthews
95.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
11.6%
Zebby Matthews
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
25.0%
Zebby Matthews
20.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
27.3%
Zebby Matthews
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
50.5%
Zebby Matthews
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
8.6%
Zebby Matthews
12.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.329
Zebby Matthews
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
3.117.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.86
4.18
Zebby Matthews
3.117.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.63
4.33
WHIPlower is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.9001.73
now 1.53
1.34
Zebby Matthews
.9001.73
now 1.03
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
4082.80
now 43
66
Zebby Matthews
4082.80
now 24
65
Winshigher is better
Lance McCullers Jr.
.0005.20
now 2
24
Zebby Matthews
.0005.20
now 1
23

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLance McCullers Jr. — hold.conf 0.55
SellZebby Matthews — sell.conf 0.66
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