MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Lars Nootbaar
AZ · DH
Change to
Portrait of Yordan Alvarez
Yordan Alvarez
HOU · DH
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lars Nootbaar.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs and RBI. Yordan Alvarez’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Lars Nootbaar wins 2 categories (R, RBI); Yordan Alvarez wins 1 (AVG); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Lars Nootbaar
92.0
Yordan Alvarez
94.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Lars Nootbaar
49.7%
Yordan Alvarez
53.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Lars Nootbaar
9.8%
Yordan Alvarez
16.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Lars Nootbaar
19.6%
Yordan Alvarez
29.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Lars Nootbaar
6.9%
Yordan Alvarez
8.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Lars Nootbaar
.343
Yordan Alvarez
.447
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Lars Nootbaar
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .429
.223
Yordan Alvarez
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .301
.276

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Lars Nootbaar
527.60
now 1
1
Yordan Alvarez
527.60
now 20
1
Runshigher is better
Lars Nootbaar
2053.80
now 2
9
Yordan Alvarez
2053.80
now 39
7
RBIhigher is better
Lars Nootbaar
2053.40
now 3
13
Yordan Alvarez
2053.40
now 39
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Lars Nootbaar
.0002.20
now 0
0
Yordan Alvarez
.0002.20
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLars Nootbaar — buy.conf 0.66
BuyYordan Alvarez — buy.conf 0.86
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