MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Tarik Skubal’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Tarik Skubal wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Logan Henderson
93.1
Tarik Skubal
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Logan Henderson
14.1%
Tarik Skubal
16.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Logan Henderson
29.6%
Tarik Skubal
30.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Logan Henderson
32.2%
Tarik Skubal
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Logan Henderson
36.9%
Tarik Skubal
34.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Logan Henderson
8.3%
Tarik Skubal
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Logan Henderson
.257
Tarik Skubal
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Logan Henderson
2.483.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.74
Tarik Skubal
2.483.16
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.94
WHIPlower is better
Logan Henderson
.9001.13
now 1.04
1.02
Tarik Skubal
.9001.13
now 0.95
1.06

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Logan Henderson
4063
now 30
0
Tarik Skubal
4063
now 45
0
Winshigher is better
Logan Henderson
.0004.20
now 2
0–0
Tarik Skubal
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
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