week 12
this weekHOLD
last week—
Logan Henderson
data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.90); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 95ERA 4.07WHIP 1.29W 4–9SV 0
Henderson is a hold — league average, small sample.
ROS projects K 30 YTD → 95 ROS, ERA 2.74 YTD → 4.07 ROS, WHIP 1.04 YTD → 1.29 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %33.3%—−0.0% ▼vs his ~33.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.90)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed29.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−10.4%vs his norm —
54 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
54 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.270
lg avg .315 ▼−.045vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 200 TBF
xERA2.90
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.20vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
90 / 200 TBF
ERA2.74
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.36vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
23 / 200 IP
Strikeout %33.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.3%vs his norm −0.0% ▼
90 / 70 TBF
Walk %6.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm −0.7% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.4% norm — expect it to rise.
90 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.308
lg avg .295 ▲+.013vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
54 / 800 BIP
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 33.3%→33.3%signal95 K — K% 33.3% (signal) held to career ~33.3% → projected 33.3% over ~73 remaining IP.
xERA 2.90noise4.07 ERA — xERA 2.90 (noise) blended 3% skill / 97% league 4.10 at 23 IP.
BB% 6.7% + contactnoise1.29 WHIP — a 7% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.10 skill WHIP, blended 3%…
run support + role4-9 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep95 K ROS, 4.07 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.