week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Logan Henderson
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.86); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 52ERA 4.07WHIP 1.29W 2–5SV 0
Henderson is a hold — league-average skill, limited data.
ROS projects K 30 YTD → 52 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %31.8%—−1.5% ▼vs his ~33.3% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.86)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.4%vs his norm —
93 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
93 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.264
lg avg .315 ▼−.051vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
148 / 200 TBF
xERA2.86
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.24vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
148 / 200 TBF
ERA3.05
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.05vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
38.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %31.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.8%vs his norm −1.5% ▼
148 / 70 TBF
Walk %4.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.3%vs his norm −2.7% ▼Walk % is below his ~7.4% norm — expect it to rise.
148 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.273
lg avg .295 ▼−.022vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
93 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm —
148 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
148 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo93.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−1.0 mphvs his norm —
583 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 31.8%→32.7%signal52 K — K% 31.8% (signal) lifted to career ~33.3% → projected 32.7% over ~39 remaining IP.
xERA 2.86noise4.07 ERA — xERA 2.86 (noise) blended 3% skill / 97% league 4.10 at 23 IP.
BB% 4.7% + contactnoise1.29 WHIP — a 5% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.292 gives a 1.03 skill WHIP, blended 3%…
run support + role2-5 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdrop52 K ROS, 4.07 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.