MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZ · LF
Change to
Portrait of Victor Mesa Jr.
Victor Mesa Jr.
TB · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Victor Mesa Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Victor Mesa Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Lourdes Gurriel Jr. wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
86.7
Victor Mesa Jr.
88.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
32.5%
Victor Mesa Jr.
38.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
4.8%
Victor Mesa Jr.
8.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
39.5%
Victor Mesa Jr.
30.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
12.6%
Victor Mesa Jr.
12.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.277
Victor Mesa Jr.
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .228
.229
Victor Mesa Jr.
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .211
.193

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
55.20
now 1
3
Victor Mesa Jr.
55.20
now 1
4
Runshigher is better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2028.20
now 7
13
Victor Mesa Jr.
2028.20
now 3
21
RBIhigher is better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2028.20
now 11
20
Victor Mesa Jr.
2028.20
now 3
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.0003.20
now 1
2
Victor Mesa Jr.
.0003.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
SellLourdes Gurriel Jr. — sell.conf 0.63
Hold · wait & seeVictor Mesa Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet