MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Lucas Giolito
Lucas Giolito
SD · P
Change to
Nick Pivetta
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Lucas Giolito wins 0 (none); Nick Pivetta wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Nick Pivetta
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Nick Pivetta
10.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Nick Pivetta
30.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Nick Pivetta
35.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Nick Pivetta
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Nick Pivetta
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Nick Pivetta
.277
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Nick Pivetta
3.755.32
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
.9001.98
now 1.74
1.30
Nick Pivetta
.9001.98
now 1.13
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
4033.60
now 6
0
Nick Pivetta
4033.60
now 24
0
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Nick Pivetta
.0002.80
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeNick Pivetta — hold.conf 0.50
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