Who's more valuable, rest of season
Lucas Giolito.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Will Warren’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV n/a
Lucas Giolito wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Will Warren wins 1 (K); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
90.8
Will Warren
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
9.8%
Will Warren
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
13.0%
Will Warren
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Lucas Giolito
19.0%
Will Warren
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
43.8%
Will Warren
41.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
4.2%
Will Warren
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Lucas Giolito
.358
Will Warren
.329
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Lucas Giolito
2.525.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.97
4.10
Will Warren
2.525.67
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.22
4.41
WHIPlower is better
Lucas Giolito
.9801.96
now 1.74
1.30
Will Warren
.9801.96
now 1.20
1.34
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
4095.60
now 6
26
Will Warren
4095.60
now 70
54
Winshigher is better
Lucas Giolito
.00010.40
now 2
4–8
Will Warren
.00010.40
now 7
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeLucas Giolito — hold.conf 0.50
SellWill Warren — sell.conf 0.69