Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategoryOzzie
1HR →8
44R →58
35RBI →44
8SB ←0
.296AVG ←.243
Current Season
LuisCategoryOzzie
2HR →9
29R →38
23RBI →29
5SB ←0
.321AVG ←.274
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Arraez
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.310 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Ozzie Albies
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse
Luis Arraez: 1 HR / 44 R. Ozzie Albies: 8 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).