MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEA · RF
Change to
Portrait of Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COL · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luke Raley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Troy Johnston’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luke Raley wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Troy Johnston wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Luke Raley
90.8
Troy Johnston
89.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
47.1%
Troy Johnston
37.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
15.7%
Troy Johnston
2.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Luke Raley
34.6%
Troy Johnston
35.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Luke Raley
22.1%
Troy Johnston
12.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Luke Raley
.342
Troy Johnston
.326
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Luke Raley
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .276
.201
Troy Johnston
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .312
.270

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
518.20
now 13
1
Troy Johnston
518.20
now 2
0
Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
2030.60
now 22
5
Troy Johnston
2030.60
now 23
4
RBIhigher is better
Luke Raley
2041.40
now 31
6
Troy Johnston
2041.40
now 25
5
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Luke Raley
.0004.20
now 1
0
Troy Johnston
.0004.20
now 3
1
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLuke Raley — buy.conf 0.65
Hold · leans buyTroy Johnston — hold.conf 0.60
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