MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Luke Raley
Luke Raley
SEA · RF
Change to
Portrait of Troy Johnston
Troy Johnston
COL · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Luke Raley.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Troy Johnston’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Luke Raley wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Troy Johnston wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Luke Raley
90.4
Troy Johnston
89.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
46.2%
Troy Johnston
38.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Luke Raley
16.5%
Troy Johnston
2.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Luke Raley
33.8%
Troy Johnston
34.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Luke Raley
21.7%
Troy Johnston
11.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Luke Raley
.349
Troy Johnston
.327
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Luke Raley
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .276
.215
Troy Johnston
.200.350
lg AVG .295
now .312
.279

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
517.40
now 13
6
Troy Johnston
517.40
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Luke Raley
2026.20
now 22
21
Troy Johnston
2026.20
now 23
20
RBIhigher is better
Luke Raley
2034.60
now 31
30
Troy Johnston
2034.60
now 25
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Luke Raley
.0004.20
now 1
1
Troy Johnston
.0004.20
now 3
3
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyLuke Raley — buy.conf 0.67
Hold · leans buyTroy Johnston — hold.conf 0.60
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