Who's more valuable, rest of season
Nolan Arenado.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. Manny Machado’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
HR
R
▶
RBI
▶
SB
AVG
▶
Nolan Arenado wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Manny Machado wins 1 (HR); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Manny Machado
90.0
Nolan Arenado
85.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Manny Machado
43.0%
Nolan Arenado
33.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Manny Machado
10.3%
Nolan Arenado
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Manny Machado
31.0%
Nolan Arenado
31.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Manny Machado
12.9%
Nolan Arenado
11.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Manny Machado
.320
Nolan Arenado
.294
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Manny Machado
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .174
.201
Nolan Arenado
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .270
.212
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Manny Machado
512.80
now 10
5
Nolan Arenado
512.80
now 8
3
Runshigher is better
Manny Machado
2031.20
now 28
23
Nolan Arenado
2031.20
now 28
25
RBIhigher is better
Manny Machado
20.8033.20
now 30
24
Nolan Arenado
20.8033.20
now 28
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Manny Machado
.0002.20
now 1
1
Nolan Arenado
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyManny Machado — hold.conf 0.60
SellNolan Arenado — sell.conf 0.59