Rest of Season Projection
MarcellCategorySpencer
13HR →14
25R →29
37RBI ←36
0SB0
.219AVG ←.204
Current Season
MarcellCategorySpencer
5HR →8
14R →18
21RBI →22
0SB0
.186AVG →.210
What Each Player's System Trusts
Marcell Ozuna
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.243 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Spencer Torkelson
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.324)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Marcell Ozuna: 13 HR / 25 R. Spencer Torkelson: 14 HR / 29 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).