MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Matt Svanson
STL · P
Change to
Robby Ahlstrom
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Robby Ahlstrom.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Robby Ahlstrom wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Matt Svanson wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Svanson
97.0
Robby Ahlstrom
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
9.2%
Robby Ahlstrom
12.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
21.1%
Robby Ahlstrom
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Svanson
24.8%
Robby Ahlstrom
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Svanson
45.0%
Robby Ahlstrom
33.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Svanson
7.0%
Robby Ahlstrom
3.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Svanson
.357
Robby Ahlstrom
.314
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Svanson
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.77
3.79
Robby Ahlstrom
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Matt Svanson
.9002.55
now 1.95
1.25
Robby Ahlstrom
.9002.55
now 0.00
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Svanson
4038.40
now 26
23
Robby Ahlstrom
4038.40
now 2
28
Winshigher is better
Matt Svanson
.0001.48
now 1
01
Robby Ahlstrom
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Svanson — hold.conf 0.55
Buy LowRobby Ahlstrom — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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