Rest of Season Projection
MattCategorySteven
45K ←40
3.89ERA →3.69
1.26WHIP →1.25
1–2W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategorySteven
26K ←22
8.77ERA →3.46
1.95WHIP →0.96
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.35)
Steven Okert
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.58 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Svanson: 45 K / 3.89 ERA. Steven Okert: 40 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).