Rest of Season Projection
JohnCategoryMatt
28K →45
3.74ERA ←3.89
1.25WHIP ←1.26
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
JohnCategoryMatt
13K →26
2.74ERA ←8.77
1.30WHIP ←1.95
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
John Schreiber
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.05 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.35)
John Schreiber: 28 K / 3.74 ERA. Matt Svanson: 45 K / 3.89 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).