Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryTyler
45K ←36
3.89ERA →3.72
1.26WHIP →1.25
1–2W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
MattCategoryTyler
26K ←24
8.77ERA →4.23
1.95WHIP →1.37
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Svanson
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (7.34)
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.00 sits 0.10 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Matt Svanson: 45 K / 3.89 ERA. Tyler Holton: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).