MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Matthew Boyd
CHC · P
Change to
Mick Abel
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Mick Abel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Matthew Boyd’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Mick Abel wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Matthew Boyd wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
92.7
Mick Abel
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
10.9%
Mick Abel
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
19.1%
Mick Abel
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Boyd
32.2%
Mick Abel
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
38.3%
Mick Abel
40.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
9.0%
Mick Abel
5.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Boyd
.331
Mick Abel
.349
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Boyd
3.176.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.46
Mick Abel
3.176.81
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.98
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Boyd
1.181.68
now 1.29
1.32
Mick Abel
1.181.68
now 1.57
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
4038.60
now 31
15
Mick Abel
4038.60
now 23
12
Winshigher is better
Matthew Boyd
.0002.80
now 2
11
Mick Abel
.0002.80
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatthew Boyd — sell.conf 0.72
Hold · wait & seeMick Abel — hold.conf 0.50
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