Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryRyan
74K ←56
4.14ERA ←4.19
1.31WHIP1.31
2–4W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategoryRyan
14K →19
10.23ERA →4.85
1.73WHIP →1.31
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Scherzer
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.14)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Feltner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.240 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.75 is 0.55 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Scherzer: 74 K / 4.14 ERA. Ryan Feltner: 56 K / 4.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).