Rest of Season Projection
MickeyCategoryMitch
2HR →6
35R ←34
13RBI →17
0SB0
.253AVG ←.171
Current Season
MickeyCategoryMitch
0HR →2
8R →12
3RBI →6
0SB0
.333AVG ←.187
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Mitch Garver
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.295)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Mitch Garver: 6 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).