Rest of Season Projection
MickeyCategoryRafael
2HR →4
35R ←11
13RBI →15
0SB0
.253AVG ←.189
Current Season
MickeyCategoryRafael
0HR →1
8R ←3
3RBI →4
0SB0
.333AVG ←.094
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Rafael Marchán
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.191)
Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Rafael Marchán: 4 HR / 11 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).