Rest of Season Projection
MikeCategoryNoah
88K ←70
4.50ERA →4.33
1.41WHIP →1.35
3–6W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
MikeCategoryNoah
54K ←33
5.40ERA ←5.82
1.45WHIP →1.34
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.321 elevated and unstable — the 5.77 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.71 is +0.61 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Noah Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.44)
Mike Burrows: 90 K / 4.49 ERA. Noah Schultz: 71 K / 4.33 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).