Rest of Season Projection
MikeCategorySean
93K ←89
4.40ERA →3.68
1.40WHIP →1.30
3–7W ←2–4
0SV0
Current Season
MikeCategorySean
54K →60
5.40ERA →3.72
1.45WHIP →1.13
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.322 elevated and unstable — the 5.66 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.56 is +0.46 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Sean Burke
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.68, 0.42 below league — production is earned
Burrows projects for 93 K / 4.40 ERA vs Burke's 89 K / 3.68 ERA. The ERA gap favors Burke, aligning with his buy verdict over Burrows's hold.