Rest of Season Projection
MikeCategoryWalbert
99K ←87
4.38ERA →3.93
1.40WHIP →1.36
3–7W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
MikeCategoryWalbert
54K ←41
5.40ERA →2.44
1.45WHIP →1.38
3W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mike Burrows
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.322 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.31 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Mike Burrows: 99 K / 4.38 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 87 K / 3.93 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).