Rest of Season Projection
MitchCategoryWalbert
82K82
4.38ERA →3.30
1.35WHIP ←1.45
5–10W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
MitchCategoryWalbert
51K ←41
4.35ERA →2.44
1.17WHIP ←1.38
5W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Mitch Keller
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.53 +0.43 vs league with no luck excuse
Walbert Ureña
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.257 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.30 is 0.62 above the ERA — regression coming
Mitch Keller: 82 K / 4.38 ERA. Walbert Ureña: 82 K / 3.30 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).