MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Nick Lodolo
Nick Lodolo
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tomoyuki Sugano
Tomoyuki Sugano
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nick Lodolo.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Nick Lodolo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Tomoyuki Sugano wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
93.9
Tomoyuki Sugano
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
10.2%
Tomoyuki Sugano
8.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
18.5%
Tomoyuki Sugano
14.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Nick Lodolo
29.7%
Tomoyuki Sugano
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
40.9%
Tomoyuki Sugano
43.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
9.7%
Tomoyuki Sugano
12.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Nick Lodolo
.380
Tomoyuki Sugano
.389
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Nick Lodolo
3.276.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.20
5.61
Tomoyuki Sugano
3.276.59
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.01
5.85
WHIPlower is better
Nick Lodolo
1.181.50
now 1.37
1.43
Tomoyuki Sugano
1.181.50
now 1.25
1.33

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
4040.60
now 22
10
Tomoyuki Sugano
4040.60
now 31
7
Winshigher is better
Nick Lodolo
.0005.20
now 2
11
Tomoyuki Sugano
.0005.20
now 4
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellNick Lodolo — sell.conf 0.90
SellTomoyuki Sugano — sell.conf 0.90
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