MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Nico Hoerner
Nico Hoerner
CHC · 2B
Change to
Portrait of Willi Castro
Willi Castro
COL · 2B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nico Hoerner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nico Hoerner wins 3 categories (RBI, SB, AVG); Willi Castro wins 2 (HR, R).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Nico Hoerner
86.1
Willi Castro
87.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Nico Hoerner
28.2%
Willi Castro
39.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Nico Hoerner
0.8%
Willi Castro
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Nico Hoerner
31.0%
Willi Castro
37.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Nico Hoerner
5.4%
Willi Castro
16.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Nico Hoerner
.321
Willi Castro
.293
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Nico Hoerner
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .252
.261
Willi Castro
.210.280
lg AVG .295
now .262
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Nico Hoerner
55.60
now 4
0
Willi Castro
55.60
now 2
3
Runshigher is better
Nico Hoerner
2027.60
now 24
15
Willi Castro
2027.60
now 24
20
RBIhigher is better
Nico Hoerner
2039.80
now 33
21
Willi Castro
2039.80
now 19
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Nico Hoerner
.00014.20
now 11
7
Willi Castro
.00014.20
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyNico Hoerner — hold.conf 0.60
SellWilli Castro — sell.conf 0.59
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