Rest of Season Projection
OswaldCategoryWilli
8HR ←7
32R →43
27RBI →34
13SB ←7
.252AVG ←.223
Current Season
OswaldCategoryWilli
7HR ←2
18R →24
15RBI →19
7SB ←4
.280AVG ←.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Oswald Peraza
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.330, +0.015 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oswald Peraza: 8 HR / 32 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).