Rest of Season Projection
ErnieCategoryWilli
4HR →7
40R →43
35RBI ←34
3SB →7
.264AVG ←.223
Current Season
ErnieCategoryWilli
5HR ←2
25R ←24
22RBI ←19
2SB →4
.300AVG ←.262
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ernie Clement
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.280 below league with no luck excuse
Willi Castro
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.285 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ernie Clement: 4 HR / 40 R. Willi Castro: 7 HR / 43 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).