Rest of Season Projection
OwenCategoryTyler
9HR ←3
33R ←31
58RBI ←31
6SB →10
.189AVG →.270
Current Season
OwenCategoryTyler
5HR ←2
17R ←15
30RBI ←15
3SB →5
.234AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tyler Freeman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 33 R. Tyler Freeman: 3 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).