MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Seth Johnson
PHI · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Paul Blackburn wins 2 (ERA, W); Seth Johnson wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
94.6
Seth Johnson
97.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
9.8%
Seth Johnson
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
18.9%
Seth Johnson
26.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
27.2%
Seth Johnson
22.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
32.1%
Seth Johnson
38.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
6.4%
Seth Johnson
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
.293
Seth Johnson
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Blackburn
2.356.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.57
Seth Johnson
2.356.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.79
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Paul Blackburn
1.051.90
now 1.44
1.33
Seth Johnson
1.051.90
now 1.71
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
4025.60
now 16
13
Seth Johnson
4025.60
now 6
20
Winshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13
Seth Johnson
.0004.20
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Buy LowSeth Johnson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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