Rest of Season Projection
PaxtonCategoryShawn
44K ←37
3.71ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →1–3
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
PaxtonCategoryShawn
24K ←19
4.91ERA →3.60
1.36WHIP →1.33
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paxton Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.32)
Shawn Armstrong
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.53 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Paxton Schultz: 44 K / 3.71 ERA. Shawn Armstrong: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).