MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Austin Warren
Austin Warren
NYM·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Paxton Schultz
Paxton Schultz
WSH·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

AustinCategoryPaxton
38K 45
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W 0–0
0SV 1–3

Current Season

AustinCategoryPaxton
22K 24
1.33ERA 4.91
1.13WHIP 1.36
1W 0
0SV 1

What Each Player's System Trusts

Austin Warren
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Paxton Schultz
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.15)

Austin Warren: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Paxton Schultz: 45 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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