Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryKeaton
38K ←34
3.70ERA →3.63
1.24WHIP1.24
1–3W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
AustinCategoryKeaton
22K22
1.33ERA ←2.45
1.13WHIP →0.90
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Keaton Winn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.40)
Austin Warren: 38 K / 3.70 ERA. Keaton Winn: 34 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).