Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategorySean
38K →68
3.70ERA ←3.77
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
AustinCategorySean
22K →42
1.33ERA ←5.08
1.13WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Warren
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.260 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.82 is 2.49 above the ERA — regression coming
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Manaea's 68 K more than doubles Warren's 38. The 3.77 ERA vs 3.70 is a wash. Sell-high on Warren, buy-low on Manaea.