Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategorySean
31K →68
3.76ERA3.77
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–3W ←0–0
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategorySean
12K →42
2.49ERA ←5.08
1.03WHIP ←1.46
1W ←0
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Sean Manaea: 68 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).