Rest of Season Projection
KeatonCategorySam
34K →41
3.63ERA3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–2W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
KeatonCategorySam
22K →29
2.45ERA →2.22
0.90WHIP ←1.09
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Keaton Winn
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.40)
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Keaton Winn: 34 K / 3.63 ERA. Sam Bachman: 41 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).