MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Portrait of Orlando Ribalta
Orlando Ribalta
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Keaton Winn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and wins. Orlando Ribalta’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Keaton Winn wins 2 categories (K, W); Orlando Ribalta wins 1 (SV); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Keaton Winn
96.4
Orlando Ribalta
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
11.7%
Orlando Ribalta
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
20.8%
Orlando Ribalta
20.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Keaton Winn
29.3%
Orlando Ribalta
36.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
27.3%
Orlando Ribalta
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Keaton Winn
4.5%
Orlando Ribalta
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Keaton Winn
.289
Orlando Ribalta
.307
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Keaton Winn
24.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
Orlando Ribalta
24.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.72
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Keaton Winn
.9001.38
now 0.90
1.24
Orlando Ribalta
.9001.38
now 0.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Keaton Winn
4027.60
now 22
18
Orlando Ribalta
4027.60
now 12
15
Winshigher is better
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
01
Orlando Ribalta
.0001.48
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Keaton Winn
.0005.60
now 0
0
Orlando Ribalta
.0005.60
now 2
14
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeKeaton Winn — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeOrlando Ribalta — hold.conf 0.50
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