Rest of Season Projection
PaxtonCategorySam
45K ←41
3.71ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.26
0–0W →1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
PaxtonCategorySam
24K →29
4.91ERA →2.22
1.36WHIP →1.09
0W →1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Paxton Schultz
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.15)
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Paxton Schultz: 45 K / 3.71 ERA. Sam Bachman: 41 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).