MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Rafael Flores Jr.
PIT · C
Change to
Portrait of William Contreras
William Contreras
MIL · C
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Rafael Flores Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average. William Contreras’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Rafael Flores Jr. wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); William Contreras wins 0 (none); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
90.5
William Contreras
90.3
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
47.1%
William Contreras
44.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
14.7%
William Contreras
8.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
29.2%
William Contreras
28.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
13.6%
William Contreras
9.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Rafael Flores Jr.
.350
William Contreras
.331
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Rafael Flores Jr.
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .667
.265
William Contreras
.200.480
lg AVG .295
now .294
.259

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Rafael Flores Jr.
55.20
now 1
1
William Contreras
55.20
now 4
1
Runshigher is better
Rafael Flores Jr.
2042.60
now 2
11
William Contreras
2042.60
now 31
6
RBIhigher is better
Rafael Flores Jr.
2049.60
now 2
11
William Contreras
2049.60
now 36
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Rafael Flores Jr.
.0002.20
now 0
0
William Contreras
.0002.20
now 1
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeRafael Flores Jr. — hold.conf 0.50
BuyWilliam Contreras — buy.conf 0.63
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