Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategoryTaylor
25K ←23
3.70ERA →3.68
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W2–4
0SV0
Current Season
RyanCategoryTaylor
12K12
2.75ERA →1.80
1.17WHIP →0.68
2W2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Taylor Clarke
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.193 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.32 is 1.04 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryan Thompson: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Taylor Clarke: 24 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).