MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Ryan Watson
Ryan Watson
BOS·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to
Engraved portrait of Tyler Phillips
Tyler Phillips
MIA·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

RyanCategoryTyler
39K 41
4.07ERA 3.65
1.27WHIP 1.42
0–0W0–0
0SV 1–5

Current Season

RyanCategoryTyler
29K 33
5.35ERA 1.63
1.46WHIP 1.27
0W0
0SV 2

What Each Player's System Trusts

Ryan Watson
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.68)
Tyler Phillips
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.270 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 1.79 above the ERA — regression coming

Ryan Watson: 39 K / 4.07 ERA. Tyler Phillips: 41 K / 3.65 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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