Rest of Season Projection
SeanCategoryTim
61K ←21
3.78ERA →3.71
1.26WHIP →1.24
0–0W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
SeanCategoryTim
42K ←11
5.08ERA →4.03
1.46WHIP →1.21
0W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Sean Manaea
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.19 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.336 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tim Hill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.25)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Sean Manaea: 62 K / 3.78 ERA. Tim Hill: 21 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).