MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 17, 2026
Shane Bieber
TOR · P
Change to
Yusei Kikuchi
LAA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shane Bieber.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Yusei Kikuchi’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Shane Bieber wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Yusei Kikuchi wins 1 (K); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Shane Bieber
92.2
Yusei Kikuchi
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
10.8%
Yusei Kikuchi
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
15.1%
Yusei Kikuchi
23.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Shane Bieber
30.1%
Yusei Kikuchi
27.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Shane Bieber
55.6%
Yusei Kikuchi
42.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Shane Bieber
14.3%
Yusei Kikuchi
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Shane Bieber
.477
Yusei Kikuchi
.340
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Shane Bieber
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.00
4.10
Yusei Kikuchi
3.346.76
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.81
4.18
WHIPlower is better
Shane Bieber
1.022.28
now 2.00
1.30
Yusei Kikuchi
1.022.28
now 1.58
1.31

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Shane Bieber
4070.40
now 6
46
Yusei Kikuchi
4070.40
now 33
52
Winshigher is better
Shane Bieber
.000.480
now 0
00
Yusei Kikuchi
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeShane Bieber — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeYusei Kikuchi — hold.conf 0.55
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