MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Spencer Jones
NYY · CF
Change to
Portrait of TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl
CIN · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Spencer Jones.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. TJ Friedl’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Spencer Jones wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); TJ Friedl wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Spencer Jones
94.7
TJ Friedl
87.4
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Spencer Jones
63.2%
TJ Friedl
28.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Spencer Jones
5.1%
TJ Friedl
2.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Spencer Jones
34.8%
TJ Friedl
25.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Spencer Jones
22.1%
TJ Friedl
11.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Spencer Jones
.280
TJ Friedl
.244
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Spencer Jones
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .259
.196
TJ Friedl
.200.290
lg AVG .295
now .181
.174

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Spencer Jones
53.20
now 0
2
TJ Friedl
53.20
now 2
1
Runshigher is better
Spencer Jones
2021
now 0
0
TJ Friedl
2021
now 15
14
RBIhigher is better
Spencer Jones
2015.60
now 3
12
TJ Friedl
2015.60
now 8
7
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Spencer Jones
.0006.60
now 1
4
TJ Friedl
.0006.60
now 5
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeSpencer Jones — hold.conf 0.50
SellTJ Friedl — sell.conf 0.69
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