177 PA · week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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TJ Friedl
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Friedl is a sell — skill below league with no luck excuse.
His expected wOBA is .252 — .063 below league average — and that number is stable after 177 plate appearances. His actual wOBA tracks close to it, so there is no bad-luck story pulling his line down. His contact quality is poor: 88.2 mph exit velocity, a 28.6% hard-hit rate, and a 2.5% barrel rate, all well below league and well past their stabilization points. His walk rate is below league. There is no luck to come back and no slump to break. The skill is what the numbers say — below average. Sell.
Sell
med0.68
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.252 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL119 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %28.6%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−11.4%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL119 / 50 BBE
Barrel %2.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−5.5%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL119 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.252
lg avg .315 ▼−.063trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL177 / 160 PA
wOBA.242
lg avg .315 ▼−.073too early to trust
NOISE177 / 200 PA
Strikeout %23.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL177 / 60 PA
Walk %7.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL177 / 120 PA
BABIP.230
lg avg .295 ▼−.065too early to trust
NOISE119 / 800 BIP