MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Portrait of Harrison Bader
Harrison Bader
SF · CF
Change to
Portrait of TJ Friedl
TJ Friedl
CIN · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Harrison Bader.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. TJ Friedl’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Harrison Bader wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); TJ Friedl wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Harrison Bader
89.2
TJ Friedl
88.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Harrison Bader
41.1%
TJ Friedl
28.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Harrison Bader
8.2%
TJ Friedl
2.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Harrison Bader
38.7%
TJ Friedl
27.8%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Harrison Bader
17.1%
TJ Friedl
11.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Harrison Bader
.272
TJ Friedl
.250
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Harrison Bader
.200.200
lg AVG .295
now .170
.187
TJ Friedl
.200.200
lg AVG .295
now .181
.183

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Harrison Bader
56.20
now 5
4
TJ Friedl
56.20
now 2
2
Runshigher is better
Harrison Bader
2024
now 10
19
TJ Friedl
2024
now 15
20
RBIhigher is better
Harrison Bader
2034.60
now 14
27
TJ Friedl
2034.60
now 8
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Harrison Bader
.0009.80
now 0
0
TJ Friedl
.0009.80
now 5
7
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowHarrison Bader — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.67
SellTJ Friedl — sell.conf 0.68
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